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Flamengo SP vs Matonense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
45' Event
56' Event

AI Match Summary

Flamengo SP in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flamengo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Flamengo SP
28%
Draws
50%
Matonense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Matonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flamengo SP lately — more wins on the board than Matonense.
  • Model gives Matonense a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Flamengo SP Clean Sheet 10%
Matonense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo SP Matonense
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 17 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1.13 3.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Paulista B
Flamengo SP vs Matonense
3:1
Jul 11, 2026 Paulista B
Matonense vs Flamengo SP
0:1
Aug 3, 2019 Paulista A4
Matonense vs Flamengo SP
0:5
Jul 14, 2019 Paulista A4
Flamengo SP vs Matonense
1:1
Mar 22, 2017 Paulista A3
Matonense vs Flamengo SP
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo SP 22 / 100
Matonense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo SP Matonense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo SP's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Matonense let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Flamengo SP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo SP VS Matonense
1.13 Goals Scored 3.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Itaqua6
Paulinia FU1
Maua FC3
Uniao Mogi5
Independente SP4
Tupa0
Paulinense3
Sao Carlos0
Jose Bonifacio EC4
Manthiqueira1
America SP3
Santacruzense0
Flamengo SP2
Audax-SP1
Matonense1
Assisense0
Quarter-finals
Itaqua5
Uniao Mogi1
Independente SP1
Paulinense0
Jose Bonifacio EC0
America SP0
Flamengo SP4
Matonense1
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-