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Flamingo Santos vs Security Systems - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2024/2025 VTDM Stadium, Metsimotlhaba
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Match Events

8' Event
Macheng B.
15' Event
Kopano F.
66' Event
Tinye M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Flamingo Santos
20%
Draws
40%
Security Systems
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Security Systems lately — more wins on the board than Flamingo Santos.
  • Win probability leans Security Systems's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Flamingo Santos Clean Sheet 16%
Security Systems Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamingo Santos Security Systems
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.6 1
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Premier League
Flamingo Santos vs Security Systems
3:3
Oct 6, 2024 Premier League
Security Systems vs Flamingo Santos
3:0
Mar 10, 2018 Premier League
Security Systems vs Flamingo Santos
1:1
Nov 1, 2017 Premier League
Flamingo Santos vs Security Systems
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamingo Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Kopano F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sentle T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Security Systems Compare

Top Goalscorer Macheng B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tinye M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamingo Santos 19 / 100
Security Systems 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamingo Santos Security Systems

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Security Systems Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Security Systems let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Security Systems lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Flamingo Santos found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Flamingo Santos VS Security Systems
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamingo Santos

(Home)
24 May
Flamingo Santos
3 : 3
Security Systems
17 May
Township Rollers
3 : 1
Flamingo Santos
14 May
Chadibe
1 : 2
Flamingo Santos
02 May
Flamingo Santos
0 : 2
Centre Chiefs
16 Apr
Sua Flamingoes
3 : 0
Flamingo Santos
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Security Systems

(Away)
24 May
Flamingo Santos
3 : 3
Security Systems
17 May
Security Systems
7 : 1
Chadibe
14 May
Centre Chiefs
3 : 2
Security Systems
04 May
Security Systems
0 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
16 Apr
Tafic FC
3 : 1
Security Systems
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 20 6 4 56:23 66
2 Tafic FC 30 17 9 4 51:23 60
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 17 8 5 63:31 59
4 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 15 14 1 43:20 59
5 Centre Chiefs 30 15 11 4 46:20 56
6 Township Rollers 30 15 9 6 37:28 54
7 Morupule 30 12 6 12 41:36 42
8 Orapa United 30 9 13 8 36:31 40
9 VTM FC 30 8 11 11 36:33 35
10 Nico United 30 7 11 12 18:32 32
11 BDF XI 30 7 10 13 28:33 31
12 Matebele 30 8 6 16 30:45 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 8 5 17 25:48 29
14 Security Systems 30 6 8 16 30:45 26
15 Chadibe 30 2 10 18 19:62 16
16 Flamingo Santos 30 2 7 21 18:67 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)