Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flaminia vs Montespaccato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Polidori A.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Polidori A.
82' Event
Tascini A.

AI Match Summary

Flaminia in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flaminia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Flaminia
20%
Draws
38%
Montespaccato
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flaminia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flaminia lately — more wins on the board than Montespaccato.
  • Win probability leans Flaminia's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Flaminia have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 20%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flaminia Montespaccato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 12
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Flaminia
2:4
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Flaminia vs Montespaccato
3:1
Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Montespaccato
2:1
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Montespaccato vs Flaminia
1:2
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Montespaccato vs Flaminia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flaminia Compare

Top Goalscorer Polidori A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tascini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Montespaccato Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flaminia 42 / 100
Montespaccato 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flaminia Montespaccato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flaminia scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Montespaccato conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Flaminia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flaminia VS Montespaccato
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flaminia

(Home)
26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0
Flaminia
10 May
Monastir
3 : 3
Flaminia
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Flaminia
0 : 1
Budoni Calcio
19 Apr
Nocerina
1 : 1
Flaminia
Page 1 of 6

Montespaccato

(Away)
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scafatese34276175:2387
2Trastevere Calcio34179864:4660
3Monastir341581151:4453
4Flaminia341312953:3751
5Albalonga341481255:5550
6Latte Dolce341461449:4948
7Valmontone341461449:5048
8Nocerina341114936:3347
9Sarrabus Ogliastra3412101247:5146
10Budoni Calcio341291333:3245
11Palmese 19143411121141:4345
12Atl. Lodigiani3411111243:4044
13Ischia341271536:5243
14Anzio Calcio 19243410111338:4341
15Real Monterotondo341061839:5836
16Olbia348141239:5036
17Montespaccato346121647:5830
18Cassino34492124:5521
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)