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Flaminia vs Montespaccato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Polidori A.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Polidori A.
82' Event
Tascini A.

AI Match Summary

Flaminia in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flaminia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Flaminia
30%
Draws
12%
Montespaccato
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flaminia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flaminia lately — more wins on the board than Montespaccato.
  • Win probability leans Flaminia's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Flaminia have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 14%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flaminia Montespaccato
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 10 12
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Flaminia
2:4
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Flaminia vs Montespaccato
3:1
Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Montespaccato
2:1
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Montespaccato vs Flaminia
1:2
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Montespaccato vs Flaminia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flaminia Compare

Top Goalscorer Polidori A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tascini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Montespaccato Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flaminia 41 / 100
Montespaccato 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flaminia Montespaccato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flaminia scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Montespaccato conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Flaminia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flaminia VS Montespaccato
1.88 Goals Scored 1.33
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flaminia

(Home)
07 Oct
Flaminia
0 : 3
Siena
04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1
Flaminia
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
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Montespaccato

(Away)
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)