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Flat Earth FC vs Moratalaz

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 game between Flat Earth FC and Moratalaz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moratalaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Flat Earth FC
20%
Draws
38%
Moratalaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flat Earth FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Flat Earth FC have managed 0 goals a game lately — Moratalaz are scoring more at 1.13.
  • Model gives Flat Earth FC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Moratalaz here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Flat Earth FC Clean Sheet 20%
Moratalaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flat Earth FC Moratalaz
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Flat Earth FC
1:0
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Flat Earth FC vs Moratalaz
1:3
Feb 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Flat Earth FC
2:2
Sep 22, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Flat Earth FC vs Moratalaz
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flat Earth FC 42 / 100
Moratalaz 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flat Earth FC Moratalaz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moratalaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Flat Earth FC found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Moratalaz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moratalaz
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Adarve22135441:1744
2Moratalaz22117436:2040
3Rayo Vallecano B22108435:2738
4Pozuelo de Alarcon22115633:2038
5Flat Earth FC2296719:1833
6AD Torrejon22711432:1732
7AD Alcala2286822:2230
8RSD Alcala22610620:1628
9Paracuellos Antamira2268818:2726
10Villanueva del Pardillo CF22541314:2819
11San Fernando de Henares22461218:3618
12Santa Ana22241611:5110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leganes B20155034:1250
2CD Mostoles20135228:1144
3Alcorcon B2097432:1534
4Parla2077620:2028
5Carabanchel2059618:2024
6Atletico Pinto20731020:3024
7Trival Valderas2058715:2123
8Villaverde San Andres20631118:2921
9El Alamo20371024:3316
10Mostoles CF20361115:2615
11Real Aranjuez20361119:3215