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Flavion-Morialme vs Mandel United

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flavion-Morialme play Mandel United in the Belgian Cup 2016/2017. Mandel United are favorites here. Recently, Flavion-Morialme averaged 1.89 goals scored and 3.33 conceded. Mandel United averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. In past meetings, Flavion-Morialme won 0, Mandel United won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 7, 2016 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Flavion-Morialme and 1.00 for Mandel United. This points to a Mandel United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Flavion-Morialme
25%
Draws
60%
Mandel United
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mandel United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Flavion-Morialme picked up more points recently compared to Mandel United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Flavion-Morialme Clean Sheet 23%
Mandel United Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flavion-Morialme Mandel United
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 3 21
Draws 0 8
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 1.89 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.33 0.68

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2016 Belgian Cup
Flavion-Morialme vs Mandel United
0:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flavion-Morialme 18 / 100
Mandel United 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flavion-Morialme Mandel United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mandel United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Mandel United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Flavion-Morialme attacking → ← attacking Mandel United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flavion-Morialme scored in 100% of their last 9 games.

Mandel United let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Flavion-Morialme went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mandel United lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 71
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00