Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fleetwood Town U18 vs Aston Villa U18

England England

FA Youth Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Slater A.
53' Event
Burrowes B.
60' Event
McGrath J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fleetwood Town U18
15%
Draws
59%
Aston Villa U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aston Villa U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Aston Villa U18 have won more games recently than Fleetwood Town U18.
  • Win probability leans Aston Villa U18's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Aston Villa U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aston Villa U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Fleetwood Town U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa U18 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleetwood Town U18 Aston Villa U18
Matches Played 6 34
Wins 1 20
Draws 0 5
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.17 2.91
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 FA Youth Cup
Fleetwood Town U18 vs Aston Villa U18
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleetwood Town U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Slater A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Aston Villa U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burrowes B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McGrath J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleetwood Town U18 10 / 100
Aston Villa U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleetwood Town U18 Aston Villa U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa U18 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Fleetwood Town U18 scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Fleetwood Town U18 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aston Villa U18
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleetwood Town U18

(Home)
20 Jan
Fleetwood Town U18
2 : 3
Aston Villa U18
14 Jan
Fleetwood Town U18
0 : 3
Southampton U18
07 Feb
Manchester City U18
5 : 0
Fleetwood Town U18
18 Jan
Fleetwood Town U18
3 : 0
Middlesbrough U18
22 Mar
Fleetwood Town U18
1 : 2
Bristol City U18
Page 1 of 2

Aston Villa U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Aston Villa U18
2 : 4
Brighton U18
12 Sept
West Brom U18
2 : 0
Aston Villa U18
05 Sept
Brentford U18
0 : 5
Aston Villa U18
29 Aug
Aston Villa U18
1 : 0
Crystal Palace U18
22 Aug
Fulham U18
5 : 5
Aston Villa U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Reading U18 2
Chelsea U18 3
Manchester City U18 5
Arsenal U18 2
Everton U18 3
West Ham U18 2
Bromley U18 1
Ipswich U18 2
Leeds U18 1
Swansea U18 2
Coventry U18 1
Blackburn U18 8
Norwich U18 1
Burnley U18 5
Watford U18 1
Charlton U18 3
Oxford Utd U18 2
Colchester U18 1
Manchester United U18 2
Derby U18 1
Sunderland U18 4
West Brom U18 3
QPR U18 0
Brighton U18 2
Fleetwood Town U18 2
Aston Villa U18 3
Southend U18 1
Wrexham U18 3
Bolton U18 1
Stevenage U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Crystal Palace U18 4
1/8-finals
Chelsea U18 1
Manchester City U18 4
Everton U18 4
Ipswich U18 2
Swansea U18 0
Blackburn U18 2
Burnley U18 2
Charlton U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 1
Manchester United U18 4
Sunderland U18 4
Brighton U18 1
Aston Villa U18 1
Wrexham U18 0
Stevenage U18 1
Crystal Palace U18 2
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 3
Everton U18 0
Blackburn U18 2
Burnley U18 1
Manchester United U18 3
Sunderland U18 2
Aston Villa U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 3
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 4
Blackburn U18 1
Manchester United U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 1
Final
Manchester City U18 2
Manchester United U18 1