Sport Picks
Fleetwood Town vs Accrington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood 
Match Events
3'
3'
Heath I.
Assist: Pye L.
9'
9'
Mooney K.
Penalty Missed
32'
32'
Henderson A.
Assist: Heath I.
AI Match Summary
Fleetwood Town in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
20%
63%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Accrington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Accrington haven't matched Fleetwood Town's recent run of results.
- 63% — that's where the model lands on Accrington taking it.
- Fleetwood Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Fleetwood Town, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Fleetwood Town here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 16%
Accrington Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fleetwood Town | Accrington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Accrington vs Fleetwood Town
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Accrington
2:1
Sep 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Fleetwood Town vs Accrington
3:2
Apr 1, 2025 League Two
Accrington vs Fleetwood Town
1:4
Dec 16, 2024 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Accrington
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fleetwood Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Norwood J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ennis E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Accrington Compare
Top Goalscorer Heath I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Henderson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fleetwood Town 23 / 100
Accrington 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fleetwood Town Accrington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Accrington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fleetwood Town's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Accrington's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Fleetwood Town has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Fleetwood Town VS Accrington
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Fleetwood Town
(Home) 06 Oct
Fleetwood Town
4 : 1 Barnsley
03 Oct
Salford
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 Rochdale
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Fleetwood Town
4 : 1 Barnsley
26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 Rochdale
16 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Shrewsbury
01 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 Oldham
Page 1 of 3
Accrington
(Away) 06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1 Salford
03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0 Cheltenham
26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1 Accrington
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1 Accrington
12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1 Accrington
29 Aug
Walsall
3 : 2 Accrington
22 Aug
Exeter
2 : 0 Accrington
08 Aug
Crewe
2 : 1 Accrington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 4 | Wigan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranmere | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Blackpool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Barrow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Nottingham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doncaster | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Barnsley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Manchester United U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Notts County | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Rotherham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:14 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:11 | 2 |
| 4 | Mansfield | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port Vale | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Accrington | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crewe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 3 | Burton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 2 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Exeter | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Newport | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Plymouth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 4 | Tottenham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:12 | 2 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northampton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swindon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Reading | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 13)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stevenage | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:4 | 9 |
| 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Bromley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 14)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Peterborough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 15)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colchester | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Wycombe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 16)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Barnet | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
