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Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fleetwood Town host Carlisle in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Fleetwood Town have averaged 1.44 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Carlisle's 2 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Fleetwood Town slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.56, favoring Carlisle. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fleetwood Town
15%
Draws
59%
Carlisle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlisle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carlisle lately — more wins on the board than Fleetwood Town.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 15%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleetwood Town Carlisle
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.44 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 League Two
Carlisle vs Fleetwood Town
2:3
Dec 26, 2023 League One
Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle
1:1
Aug 5, 2023 League One
Carlisle vs Fleetwood Town
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleetwood Town 31 / 100
Carlisle 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleetwood Town Carlisle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleetwood Town scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Carlisle has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Fleetwood Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fleetwood Town VS Carlisle
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleetwood Town

(Home)
06 Oct
Fleetwood Town
4 : 1
Barnsley
03 Oct
Salford
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2
Rochdale
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1
Fleetwood Town
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Carlisle

(Away)
03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3
Carlisle
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2
Carlisle
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5
Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0
Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
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