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Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fleetwood Town host Carlisle in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Fleetwood Town have averaged 1.75 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Carlisle's 1.75 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Fleetwood Town slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.19, favoring Carlisle. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fleetwood Town
33%
Draws
27%
Carlisle
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fleetwood Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carlisle lately — more wins on the board than Fleetwood Town.
  • Model gives Fleetwood Town a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 20%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleetwood Town Carlisle
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 League Two
Carlisle vs Fleetwood Town
2:3
Dec 26, 2023 League One
Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle
1:1
Aug 5, 2023 League One
Carlisle vs Fleetwood Town
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleetwood Town 40 / 100
Carlisle 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleetwood Town Carlisle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleetwood Town scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Fleetwood Town has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Carlisle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Fleetwood Town VS Carlisle
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleetwood Town

(Home)
28 Jul
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1
Bolton
21 Jul
Fleetwood Town
2 : 1
Huddersfield
18 Jul
Southport
0 : 1
Fleetwood Town
14 Jul
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Chester
11 Jul
Bamber Bridge
0 : 5
Fleetwood Town
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Carlisle

(Away)
28 Jul
Carlisle
0 : 2
Salford
21 Jul
Darlington FC
2 : 4
Carlisle
03 May
Carlisle
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
25 Apr
Carlisle
3 : 0
Brackley
18 Apr
Truro
0 : 1
Carlisle
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