Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Highbury Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Sub
Mandeville L. In: Markanday D.
Out: Mandeville L.
59'
Sub
Dobra A. In: Duffy D.
Out: Dobra A.
60'
Sub
Naylor T. In: Berry-McNally J.
Out: Naylor T.

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025/2026 game between Fleetwood Town and Chesterfield finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Fleetwood Town
11%
Draws
9%
Chesterfield
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Fleetwood Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Chesterfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Fleetwood Town taking it.
  • Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 68%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleetwood Town Chesterfield
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town
3:0
Dec 26, 2024 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield
2:0
Dec 5, 2017 EFL Trophy
Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleetwood Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Chesterfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Stirk R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleetwood Town 86 / 100
Chesterfield 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleetwood Town Chesterfield

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Fleetwood Town remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Fleetwood Town's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chesterfield conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fleetwood Town VS Chesterfield
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836