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Fleury 91 vs Orleans - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Faham F.
32' Event
Diako M.
Assist: Berthier G.
33'
Rivas J.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Fleury 91 and Orleans finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orleans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Fleury 91
35%
Draws
15%
Orleans
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fleury 91

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Fleury 91 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Fleury 91 taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Orleans have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Fleury 91 Clean Sheet 68%
Orleans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury 91 Orleans
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Orleans
0:2
May 9, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Fleury 91
2:0
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Orleans
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury 91 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Orleans Compare

Top Goalscorer Diako M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury 91 95 / 100
Orleans 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury 91 Orleans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury 91 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleury 91 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Orleans's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fleury 91 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fleury 91 VS Orleans
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury 91

(Home)
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
Page 1 of 6

Orleans

(Away)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Orleans
0 : 0
Cannes
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)