Sport Picks
Fleury 91 vs Thionville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 3 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle 
Match Events
59'
59'
Diarra B.
60'
60'
Sub
Kalambayi Mukuta S. In: Gouletquer A.
Out: Kalambayi Mukuta S.
63'
63'
Sub
Badin C. In: Homssa N.
Out: Badin C.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 3 game between Fleury 91 and Thionville finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fleury 91
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Thionville come out ahead of Fleury 91 on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Fleury 91's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Fleury 91 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Fleury 91 Clean Sheet 16%
Thionville Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fleury 91 | Thionville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Thionville
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Thionville vs Fleury 91
0:3
Nov 8, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Fleury 91 vs Thionville
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fleury 91 Compare
Top Goalscorer Verdier Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Thionville Compare
Top Goalscorer Luvualu D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fleury 91 84 / 100
Thionville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fleury 91 Thionville
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fleury 91 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fleury 91 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Thionville conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Fleury 91 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fleury 91 VS Thionville
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fleury 91
(Home) 03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2 Caen
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2 Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1 Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1 Villefranche
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2 Caen
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2 Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1 Thionville
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1 Villefranche
20 Aug
Fleury 91
0 : 2 Orleans
Page 1 of 4
Thionville
(Away) 03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0 Thionville
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2 La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1 Thionville
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4 Rouen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2 Thionville
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0 Thionville
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1 Thionville
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2 Thionville
20 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2 Thionville
07 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 3 Thionville
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Paris 13 Atletico | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg Peronnas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
