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Fleury 91 vs Villefranche - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
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Match Events

3' Event
Farade K.
9'
Colombo F.
19' Event
Lavigne V.

AI Match Summary

Fleury 91 in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fleury 91.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Fleury 91
20%
Draws
7%
Villefranche
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fleury 91

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Villefranche haven't matched Fleury 91's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fleury 91 a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fleury 91 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fleury 91 Clean Sheet 20%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury 91 Villefranche
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Villefranche
6:1
Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Villefranche
2:2
Sep 5, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Fleury 91
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury 91 Compare

Top Goalscorer Verdier Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Farade K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Villefranche Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabihi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury 91 85 / 100
Villefranche 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury 91 Villefranche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury 91 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Villefranche conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Fleury 91 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Fleury 91 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fleury 91 VS Villefranche
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury 91

(Home)
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
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Villefranche

(Away)
03 Oct
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Villefranche
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2
Versailles
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)