Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fleury 91 vs Dijon

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Lacroix L.
Assist: Marie J.
33'
Domingues J.
35' Event
Rivas J.
Assist: Le Mehaute Y.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Fleury 91 and Dijon finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fleury 91.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fleury 91
30%
Draws
37%
Dijon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Dijon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fleury 91 a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Fleury 91 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Fleury 91 Clean Sheet 68%
Dijon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury 91 Dijon
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.45 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Dijon
3:1
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Fleury 91
0:1
Jul 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Dijon vs Fleury 91
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury 91 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angong F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacroix L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury 91 68 / 100
Dijon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury 91 Dijon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury 91 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleury 91's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dijon let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Fleury 91 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fleury 91 VS Dijon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury 91

(Home)
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1
Fleury 91
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Dijon

(Away)
18 Sept
Annecy
1 : 2
Dijon
11 Sept
Dijon
3 : 2
Laval
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
21 Aug
Clermont
1 : 1
Dijon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury 91 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)