Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fleury-Merogis vs Dijon

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Lacroix L.
Assist: Marie J.
33'
Domingues J.
35' Event
Rivas J.
Assist: Le Mehaute Y.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Fleury-Merogis and Dijon finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fleury-Merogis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Fleury-Merogis
6%
Draws
90%
Dijon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dijon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dijon a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Fleury-Merogis have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 23%
Dijon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury-Merogis Dijon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 19
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury-Merogis vs Dijon
3:1
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Fleury-Merogis
0:1
Jul 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Dijon vs Fleury-Merogis
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angong F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacroix L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury-Merogis 10 / 100
Dijon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury-Merogis Dijon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleury-Merogis's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dijon let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fleury-Merogis VS Dijon
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury-Merogis

(Home)
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
11 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 5
Nantes
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

Dijon

(Away)
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 2
Dijon
18 Jul
Dijon
4 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
15 Jul
Dijon
5 : 2
UNFP
11 Jul
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Dijon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)