Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fleury-Merogis vs Rouen

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Bovis E.
46'
Karamoko H.
49'
Farade K.

AI Match Summary

Rouen in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rouen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Fleury-Merogis
30%
Draws
58%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Fleury-Merogis average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Rouen's 1.1.
  • Rouen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 20%
Rouen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury-Merogis Rouen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 13
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.39 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury-Merogis vs Rouen
1:2
Aug 8, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Fleury-Merogis
0:0
Feb 20, 2021 National 1 - Group A
Rouen vs Fleury-Merogis
0:0
Sep 12, 2020 National 1 - Group A
Fleury-Merogis vs Rouen
0:0
Mar 21, 2020 National 1 - Group B
Fleury-Merogis vs Rouen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Top Goalscorer Farade K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Faye S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury-Merogis 28 / 100
Rouen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury-Merogis Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rouen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleury-Merogis's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Rouen has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Fleury-Merogis went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fleury-Merogis VS Rouen
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury-Merogis

(Home)
14 Aug
Cannes
1 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
07 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 0
Amiens SC
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
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Rouen

(Away)
14 Aug
Orleans
1 : 2
Rouen
07 Aug
Rouen
0 : 0
Cannes
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)