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Flint Mountain vs Caersws FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Owens K.
61' Event
Owens K.
90' Event
Bacon A.

AI Match Summary

Flint Mountain in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flint Mountain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Flint Mountain
15%
Draws
65%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caersws FC lately — more wins on the board than Flint Mountain.
  • Caersws FC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Flint Mountain Clean Sheet 10%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flint Mountain Caersws FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.27 2
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Cymru North
Flint Mountain vs Caersws FC
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Flint Mountain
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Flint Mountain
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 Cymru North
Flint Mountain vs Caersws FC
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flint Mountain Compare

Top Goalscorer Owens K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bacon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Caersws FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flint Mountain 10 / 100
Caersws FC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flint Mountain Caersws FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Flint Mountain's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Caersws FC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Flint Mountain stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flint Mountain VS Caersws FC
1 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flint Mountain

(Home)
18 Apr
Mold Alexandra
3 : 1
Flint Mountain
03 Apr
Flint Mountain
1 : 2
Holyhead
28 Mar
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 1
Flint Mountain
24 Mar
Flint Mountain
1 : 0
Guilsfield
21 Mar
Flint Mountain
2 : 3
Penrhyncoch
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Caersws FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5
Caersws FC
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)