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Flint Town vs Connahs Q. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Essity Stadium, Flint
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
West C.
6'
Mendes L.
30'
Sub
Mendes L. In: Wilson C.
Out: Mendes L.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Flint Town and Connahs Q. finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Connahs Q..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Flint Town
15%
Draws
61%
Connahs Q.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Connahs Q.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Flint Town haven't matched Connahs Q.'s recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Connahs Q.'s way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Connahs Q. have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Flint Town Clean Sheet 10%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flint Town Connahs Q.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Connahs Q.
1:2
Dec 26, 2025 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Connahs Q.
0:2
Aug 25, 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Flint Town
3:2
Mar 11, 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Flint Town
4:0
Jan 25, 2025 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Connahs Q.
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flint Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Dean H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Connahs Q. Compare

Top Goalscorer West C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flint Town 10 / 100
Connahs Q. 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flint Town Connahs Q.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Flint Town found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Connahs Q. has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Flint Town has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flint Town VS Connahs Q.
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Flint Town

(Home)
17 Oct
Flint Town
1 : 3
Caernarfon
10 Oct
Flint Town
0 : 1
Colwyn Bay
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1
Flint Town
Page 1 of 6

Connahs Q.

(Away)
16 Oct
Connahs Q.
4 : 0
Porthmadog
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)