Sport Picks
Flint Town vs Trearddur Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 2025/2026 Essity Stadium, Flint 
Match Events
4'
4'
Stephenson D.
15'
15'
Wynne B.
64'
64'
Hilditch T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with Flint Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trearddur Bay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Flint Town carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Trearddur Bay's way, sitting at 90%.
- Flint Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Flint Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Flint Town Clean Sheet 17%
Trearddur Bay Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Flint Town | Trearddur Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 13 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 2.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 FAW Welsh Cup
Flint Town vs Trearddur Bay
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Flint Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Stephenson D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wynne B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Trearddur Bay Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Flint Town 10 / 100
Trearddur Bay 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Flint Town Trearddur Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trearddur Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trearddur Bay let in goals in 85% of their last 13 matches.
Flint Town scored in 70% of their last 33 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Flint Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Flint Town VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Flint Town
(Home) 03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1 Flint Town
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0 Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1 Flint Town
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0 Flint Town
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0 Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
31 Aug
Flint Town
1 : 2 Connahs Q.
21 Aug
Flint Town
0 : 1 Briton Ferry
07 Aug
Flint Town
2 : 3 Barry Town
Page 1 of 4
Trearddur Bay
(Away) 31 Jan
Flint Town
3 : 0 Trearddur Bay
13 Dec
Trearddur Bay
5 : 3 Newport City
22 Nov
Glynneath Town
2 : 5 Trearddur Bay
18 Oct
Broughton Utd
0 : 6 Trearddur Bay
20 Sept
Berriew FC
0 : 3 Trearddur Bay
Page 1 of 3
31 Jan
Flint Town
3 : 0 Trearddur Bay
22 Nov
Glynneath Town
2 : 5 Trearddur Bay
18 Oct
Broughton Utd
0 : 6 Trearddur Bay
20 Sept
Berriew FC
0 : 3 Trearddur Bay
16 Nov
Holyhead
1 : 0 Trearddur Bay
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog 3
Denbigh 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Port Talbot 2
Seven Sisters 1
Afan Lido 3
Evans Williams 2
Pwllheli 1
Rhyl 3
Brickfield Rangers 3
NFA 1
Llantwit Major 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Cwmbran Town 5
Ynyshir Albions 4
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Caerphilly 1
Caldicot 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7
Pentwynmawr Ath 0
Saltney Town 3
Gresford 7
Llanrug 4
Ruthin Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Abertillery Excelsiors 1
Mold Alexandra -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 5
Llanberis FC 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Sychdyn Utd 0
Llwydcoed 3
Lliswerry 1
Pill -
Treowen -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Cefn Cribwr 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Llanfair United 1
Kinmel Bay 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Goytre Utd 2
Ammanford Town 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Bow Street 4
Cefn Albion 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Holyhead 4
Forden Utd 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Cwmbach Royal Stars 3
Garden Village 4
Tredegar Town 1
Glynneath Town 3
Broughton Utd 2
Welshpool 1
Berriew FC 0
Trearddur Bay 3
Newport City -
TBD -
Penygraig Utd 3
Cwm Welfare 2
Blaenavon Blues 4
Canton 1
Pontyclun FC 4
Tata Steel 1
St. Asaph 0
Bangor 1876 6
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
Rhostyllen 5
Nefyn United 2
Dinas Powys 3
Afan United 1
Cardiff Draconians 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Abercarn United 1
Pure Swansea 2
TBD -
Trefelin -
Caersws FC 6
Hawarden Rangers 1
Dolgellau Athletic 8
Queens Park 3
Penydarren 0
Caerau Ely 5
Morriston Town 1
Clydach 0
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Mountain -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 1
Rhyl 1
Brickfield Rangers 0
Llantwit Major 1
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 3
Haverfordwest 0
Aberystwyth 0
Barry Town 5
Caldicot 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2
Gresford 9
Llanrug 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Taffs Well 1
Mold Alexandra 1
TNS 2
Newtown 0
Caernarfon 3
Llannefydd 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Llwydcoed 2
Treowen 5
Pontypridd United 3
Cefn Cribwr 1
Carmarthen Town 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Kinmel Bay 0
Colwyn Bay 5
Goytre Utd 0
Cambrian United 6
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 5
Bow Street 0
Flint Town 3
Holyhead 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Garden Village 2
Glynneath Town 4
Broughton Utd 0
Trearddur Bay 6
Newport City 3
Penygraig Utd 1
Blaenavon Blues 4
Pontyclun FC 2
Bangor 1876 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Rhostyllen 2
Dinas Powys 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Pure Swansea 1
Trefelin 6
Caersws FC 0
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Caerau Ely 3
Morriston Town 0
Llandudno FC 3
Flint Mountain 0
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 3
Port Talbot 2
Rhyl 3
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 0
Barry Town 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0
Gresford 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 1
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Treowen 1
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Colwyn Bay 3
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Flint Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Glynneath Town 2
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Blaenavon Blues 2
Bangor 1876 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Trefelin 4
Dolgellau Athletic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 2
Connahs Q. 1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 1
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 4
Gresford 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Caernarfon 4
Pontypridd United 0
Colwyn Bay 3
Penybont 0
Flint Town 1
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Bangor 1876 2
Trefelin 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 1
Caernarfon 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Flint Town 3
Trearddur Bay 0
Bangor 1876 3
Caerau Ely 1
Semi-finals
Rhyl 1
Caernarfon 2
Flint Town 5
Bangor 1876 1
Final
Caernarfon 3
Flint Town 0
