Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora Tallinn U21 vs Kalju U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Lorenz K.
Assist: Silm J.
25' Event
Kukkonen M.
Assist: Paltser E.
34' Event
Lillemets J.
Assist: Sarapuu K.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Flora Tallinn U21 and Kalju U21 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora Tallinn U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Flora Tallinn U21
30%
Draws
34%
Kalju U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flora Tallinn U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Flora Tallinn U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Flora Tallinn U21 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Tallinn U21 Kalju U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Kalju U21
3:1
Sep 18, 2025 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:0
Jul 26, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Kalju U21
1:2
May 19, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Kalju U21
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kukkonen M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lorenz K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kalju U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lillemets J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora Tallinn U21 34 / 100
Kalju U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Tallinn U21 Kalju U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora Tallinn U21 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Kalju U21 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Kalju U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flora Tallinn U21 VS Kalju U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora Tallinn U21

(Home)
22 Jul
Narva
1 : 0
Flora Tallinn U21
18 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
12 Jul
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
09 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
3 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
05 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
0 : 4
Levadia U21
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Kalju U21

(Away)
18 Jul
Kalju U21
0 : 2
Levadia U21
11 Jul
Viimsi JK
2 : 2
Kalju U21
05 Jul
Kalju U21
2 : 2
Elva
21 Jun
Tallinna Kalev
5 : 1
Kalju U21
18 Jun
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Kalju U21
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211994646:3831
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2119541030:4619
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)