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Flora Tallinn U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Sportland Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flora Tallinn U21 play Maardu Linnameeskond in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Flora Tallinn U21 averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Maardu Linnameeskond averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Flora Tallinn U21 won 1, Maardu Linnameeskond won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 9, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Flora Tallinn U21 and 1.94 for Maardu Linnameeskond. This points to a Flora Tallinn U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Flora Tallinn U21
29%
Draws
35%
Maardu Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Flora Tallinn U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Flora Tallinn U21 picked up more points recently compared to Maardu Linnameeskond.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Tallinn U21 Maardu Linnameeskond
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:2
May 1, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
5:0
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0
Oct 30, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0
Sep 15, 2021 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kukkonen M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Jakovenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora Tallinn U21 34 / 100
Maardu Linnameeskond 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Tallinn U21 Maardu Linnameeskond

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Flora Tallinn U21 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Flora Tallinn U21 attacking → ← attacking Maardu Linnameeskond

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora Tallinn U21 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Maardu Linnameeskond let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Flora Tallinn U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maardu Linnameeskond lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 46
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tartu JK Welco18133254:2342
2Viimsi JK1895430:1632
3Flora Tallinn U211793544:3430
4Elva1983834:3227
5Levadia U2119801137:3524
6Maardu Linnameeskond1865726:3823
7Tallinna Kalev1964937:3922
8Kalju U211854930:4419
9Nomme Utd U211754834:4119
10FC Tallinn19451025:4917