Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora Tallinn U21 vs Nomme Utd U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Kalimullin M.
51' Event
Jakovenko A.
80' Event
Kaspar A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Flora Tallinn U21
30%
Draws
34%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flora Tallinn U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nomme Utd U21 lately — more wins on the board than Flora Tallinn U21.
  • Flora Tallinn U21 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Tallinn U21 Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:1
Jun 30, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:3
May 13, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalimullin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jakovenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaspar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora Tallinn U21 34 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Tallinn U21 Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flora Tallinn U21 scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Nomme Utd U21 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Nomme Utd U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flora Tallinn U21 VS Nomme Utd U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora Tallinn U21

(Home)
18 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
12 Jul
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
09 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
3 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
05 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
0 : 4
Levadia U21
30 Jun
Nomme Utd U21
3 : 3
Flora Tallinn U21
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Nomme Utd U21

(Away)
18 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
12 Jul
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
30 Jun
Nomme Utd U21
3 : 3
Flora Tallinn U21
21 Jun
Tartu JK Welco
5 : 2
Nomme Utd U21
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211994646:3831
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2119541030:4619
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)