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Flora Tallinn U21 vs Nomme Utd U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Kalimullin M.
51' Event
Jakovenko A.
80' Event
Kaspar A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Flora Tallinn U21
15%
Draws
48%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flora Tallinn U21 lately — more wins on the board than Nomme Utd U21.
  • Flora Tallinn U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Tallinn U21 Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.41 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:1
Jun 30, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:3
May 13, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalimullin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jakovenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaspar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora Tallinn U21 49 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Tallinn U21 Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Tallinn U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flora Tallinn U21 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Nomme Utd U21 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Flora Tallinn U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flora Tallinn U21 VS Nomme Utd U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora Tallinn U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
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Nomme Utd U21

(Away)
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 31 20 5 6 81:39 65
2 Viimsi JK 31 16 5 10 56:31 53
3 Flora Tallinn U21 31 15 6 10 72:53 51
4 Elva 31 15 6 10 47:44 51
5 Levadia U21 30 14 2 14 60:55 44
6 Tallinna Kalev 30 11 7 12 52:55 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 31 11 6 14 50:62 39
8 FC Tallinn 30 8 8 14 39:63 32
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)