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Flora Tallinn U21 vs Santos Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2018
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AI Match Summary

Flora Tallinn U21 play Santos Tartu in the Esiliiga 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Flora Tallinn U21 averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Santos Tartu averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Flora Tallinn U21 won 4, Santos Tartu won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 11, 2018 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Flora Tallinn U21 and 1.25 for Santos Tartu. This points to a Flora Tallinn U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Flora Tallinn U21
19%
Draws
31%
Santos Tartu
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Flora Tallinn U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Flora Tallinn U21 picked up more points recently compared to Santos Tartu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Tallinn U21 Santos Tartu
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.08 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0
Jul 14, 2018 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Santos Tartu
7:0
May 6, 2018 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Santos Tartu
3:0
Mar 29, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:6
Oct 19, 2017 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mannilaan M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jermatsenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Santos Tartu Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora Tallinn U21 49 / 100
Santos Tartu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Tallinn U21 Santos Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Flora Tallinn U21 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Flora Tallinn U21 attacking → ← attacking Santos Tartu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora Tallinn U21 scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Santos Tartu let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Flora Tallinn U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santos Tartu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 39
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maardu Linnameeskond362916126:3888
2Flora Tallinn U21362187115:3171
3Levadia U21361871167:5661
4Elva3615101151:6455
5Rakvere3614101259:6052
6Tartu JK Welco361261844:7842
7Santos Tartu361181747:6841
8Tallinna Kalev U21361091737:5239
9Keila JK361052141:8835
10Kalju U2136562537:8921