Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora vs Nomme Utd

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flora host Nomme Utd in the Meistriliiga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Nomme Utd have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while Flora have conceded 1 and scored 2.38. Past meetings favor Flora slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (2.38 - 1.19) back Flora to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Flora
33%
Draws
27%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Flora have won more games recently than Nomme Utd.
  • Flora are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • History favors Flora here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Flora Clean Sheet 20%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Nomme Utd
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 21 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Flora
0:4
Mar 10, 2026 Estonian Cup
Flora vs Nomme Utd
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Nomme Utd
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Flora
0:4
Aug 18, 2024 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Nomme Utd
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 40 / 100
Nomme Utd 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Nomme Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Nomme Utd conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Flora has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS Nomme Utd
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora18120638:1936
3Kalju19104533:1634
4Paide Linnameeskond1995530:2332
5Tammeka Tartu1782720:2126
6Parnu JK Vaprus1872922:3423
7Nomme Utd18611134:4319
8Harju JK Laagri18611122:3219
9Kuressaare18521117:3017
10Narva18311412:4310