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Flora W vs Riga FC W

Europe Europe

Champions League Women 2025/2026 Stade Achille Hammerel, Luxembourg
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Brima K. Z.
Assist: Lipsey A.
18' Event
Brima K. Z.
24' Event
Brima K. Z.
Assist: Lipsey A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Riga FC W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Flora W
15%
Draws
47%
Riga FC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Riga FC W come out ahead of Flora W on wins alone.
  • Riga FC W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Riga FC W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Riga FC W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Flora W Clean Sheet 10%
Riga FC W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora W Riga FC W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 28
Draws 3 0
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 3.57 7.7
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2025 UEFA Champions League Women
Flora W vs Riga FC W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora W Compare

Top Goalscorer Teern K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Riga FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brima K. Z.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora W 10 / 100
Riga FC W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora W Riga FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Flora W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Riga FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 27% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Flora W VS Riga FC W
3 Goals Scored 9
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora W

(Home)
03 Oct
Flora W
6 : 0
Harju JK Laagri W
26 Sept
Saku Sporting W
1 : 5
Flora W
20 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
0 : 5
Flora W
12 Sept
Flora W
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond W
06 Sept
Viimsi JK W
1 : 3
Flora W
Page 1 of 6

Riga FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Riga FC W
11 : 0
Rigas Futbola Skola W
30 Sept
FK Metta W
0 : 4
Riga FC W
26 Sept
Iecava/Olaine W
1 : 4
Riga FC W
23 Sept
Riga FC W
3 : 0
FK Metta W
12 Sept
Riga FC W
3 : 0
FK Auda Riga W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Racing Luxembourg W 5
AEK W 3
Flora W 1
Riga FC W 4
Agarista-SS Anenii Noi W 0
Swieqi W 5
Myjava W 3
Buducnost W 0
Ljuboten W 4
NSI Runavik W 1
NSA Sofia W 0
Pyunik Yerevan W 1
Fomget Genclik Ve Spor W 2
Neftci Baku W 0
TBD -
Kiryat Gat W -
Cardiff City W 0
Athlone W 4
TBD -
Agram Zagreb W -
Mitrovica W 1
Cliftonville W 3
TBD -
Guria Lanchkhuti W -
Final
Racing Luxembourg W 2
Riga FC W 1
Swieqi W 1
Myjava W 2
Ljuboten W 4
Pyunik Yerevan W 0
Fomget Genclik Ve Spor W 3
Kiryat Gat W 1
Athlone W 3
Agram Zagreb W 0
Cliftonville W 1
Guria Lanchkhuti W 2