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Flora W vs Tabasalu W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Joandi A.
41'
Tarkmeel H.
45' Event
Palts L.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women 2025 game between Flora W and Tabasalu W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Flora W
15%
Draws
28%
Tabasalu W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flora W come out ahead of Tabasalu W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Flora W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Flora W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Flora W Clean Sheet 14%
Tabasalu W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora W Tabasalu W
Matches Played 41 31
Wins 31 17
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 3.66 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.02 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Flora W vs Tabasalu W
5:0
Sep 21, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs Flora W
1:5
Jun 15, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Flora W vs Tabasalu W
5:1
May 4, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs Flora W
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
Flora W vs Tabasalu W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora W Compare

Top Goalscorer Joandi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palts L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Tabasalu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Parnik G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora W 84 / 100
Tabasalu W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora W Tabasalu W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Tabasalu W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Flora W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flora W VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora W

(Home)
03 Oct
Flora W
6 : 0
Harju JK Laagri W
26 Sept
Saku Sporting W
1 : 5
Flora W
20 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
0 : 5
Flora W
12 Sept
Flora W
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond W
06 Sept
Viimsi JK W
1 : 3
Flora W
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Tabasalu W

(Away)
15 Nov
Tabasalu W
1 : 5
Elva W
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 2
Tabasalu W
05 Nov
Tabasalu W
3 : 4
Saku Sporting W
18 Oct
Tabasalu W
4 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
15 Oct
Viimsi JK W
2 : 1
Tabasalu W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 27 25 1 1 126:11 76
2 Saku Sporting W 27 18 2 7 84:47 56
3 Viimsi JK W 27 15 5 7 60:32 50
4 Tabasalu W 27 14 2 11 51:55 44
5 Tallinna Kalev W 27 9 3 15 58:77 30
6 Tammeka Tartu W 27 4 5 18 32:95 17
7 Elva W 27 4 2 21 28:96 14
8 FC Ararat W 21 5 2 14 22:48 17
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)