Sport Picks

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Floresta EC U20 vs Caucaia U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Rikelme
45' Event
Caic
79' Event
Angelo

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Floresta EC U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Floresta EC U20
15%
Draws
21%
Caucaia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floresta EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Floresta EC U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Floresta EC U20 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Floresta EC U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Floresta EC U20, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Floresta EC U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Caucaia U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC U20 Caucaia U20
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.08
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Cearense U20
Floresta EC U20 vs Caucaia U20
1:0
Aug 14, 2024 Cearense U20
Floresta EC U20 vs Caucaia U20
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rikelme
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angelo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Caucaia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caic
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC U20 76 / 100
Caucaia U20 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC U20 Caucaia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floresta EC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Floresta EC U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Caucaia U20 let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Floresta EC U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC U20 VS Caucaia U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC U20

(Home)
01 Aug
Floresta EC U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
26 Jul
Quixada U20
0 : 1
Floresta EC U20
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
10 Jul
Floresta EC U20
2 : 1
Horizonte U20
04 Jul
Anjos do Ceu U20
0 : 1
Floresta EC U20
Page 1 of 6

Caucaia U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
15 Jul
Caucaia U20
1 : 2
Fortaleza U20
06 Jun
Caucaia U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
23 May
Caucaia U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
09 May
Juazeiro CE U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tirol U20 2
Icasa U20 0
Ferroviario U20 1
Sao Gerardo U20 0
Acopiara U20 1
Atletico Cearense U20 2
Ceara U20 7
Pacatuba U20 0
Juventus CE U20 3
Itapipoca U20 0
Floresta EC U20 4
Caucaia U20 1
Fortaleza U20 2
Iguatu U20 0
Horizonte U20 4
Santa Cruz CE U20 0
Quarter-finals
Tirol U20 1
Ferroviario U20 2
Atletico Cearense U20 0
Ceara U20 3
Juventus CE U20 2
Floresta EC U20 1
Fortaleza U20 3
Horizonte U20 2
Semi-finals
Ferroviario U20 2
Ceara U20 8
Juventus CE U20 1
Fortaleza U20 7
Final
Ceara U20 2
Fortaleza U20 4