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Floresta EC U20 vs Itarema U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lukas Graff
9' Event
Marcelinho
83' Event
Clayton Silva

AI Match Summary

Floresta EC U20 in this Cearense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Floresta EC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Floresta EC U20
15%
Draws
0%
Itarema U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floresta EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Floresta EC U20 lately — more wins on the board than Itarema U20.
  • Win probability leans Floresta EC U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Floresta EC U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Itarema U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC U20 Itarema U20
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 15 1
Draws 5 1
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.53 0.62
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.92
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Cearense U20
Floresta EC U20 vs Itarema U20
4:0
Jul 13, 2024 Cearense U20
Floresta EC U20 vs Itarema U20
0:0
Jun 28, 2024 Cearense U20
Itarema U20 vs Floresta EC U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukas Graff
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.72

Itarema U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC U20 85 / 100
Itarema U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC U20 Itarema U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floresta EC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Itarema U20 conceded in 85% of 13 recent games.

Difficult form: Itarema U20 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Floresta EC U20's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC U20 VS Itarema U20
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC U20

(Home)
01 Aug
Floresta EC U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
26 Jul
Quixada U20
0 : 1
Floresta EC U20
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
10 Jul
Floresta EC U20
2 : 1
Horizonte U20
04 Jul
Anjos do Ceu U20
0 : 1
Floresta EC U20
Page 1 of 6

Itarema U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Itarema U20
1 : 6
Horizonte U20
23 Aug
Itarema U20
0 : 7
Ferroviario U20
30 Jul
Ceara U20
5 : 1
Itarema U20
12 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
2 : 1
Itarema U20
28 Jun
Itarema U20
1 : 2
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:6 19
2 Floresta EC U20 8 5 1 2 16:2 16
3 Caucaia U20 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
4 Ferroviario U20 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
5 Horizonte U20 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Anjos do Ceu U20 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
7 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 7 6 1 0 21:2 19
2 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:9 13
3 Tirol U20 7 3 3 1 11:5 12
4 Atletico Cearense U20 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
5 Pacatuba U20 7 3 0 4 11:14 9
6 Itapipoca U20 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
7 Itarema U20 7 0 0 7 5:28 0
8 Esporte Limoeiro U20 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)