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Floresta EC vs Amazonas

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Matheus M.
22'
Jhonny Lucas
39' Event
Jeam
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Floresta EC and Amazonas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Floresta EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Floresta EC
28%
Draws
22%
Amazonas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Floresta EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Floresta EC haven't matched Amazonas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Floresta EC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 68%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Amazonas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Amazonas
3:2
May 29, 2023 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Amazonas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garraty
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Amazonas Compare

Top Goalscorer Henriques Coelho L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Domingos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 59 / 100
Amazonas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Amazonas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Amazonas conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Floresta EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Amazonas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Amazonas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC

(Home)
27 Jul
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Maringa FC
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0
Floresta EC
04 Jul
Guarani
0 : 0
Floresta EC
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
21 Jun
Brusque
2 : 1
Floresta EC
Page 1 of 6

Amazonas

(Away)
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
12 Jul
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 0
Amazonas
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2
Itabaiana
30 Jun
Volta Redonda
3 : 0
Amazonas
21 Jun
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 1
Amazonas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1583421:1527
2Guarani1575328:1526
3Botafogo PB1581621:1625
4Internacional de Limeira1574418:1725
5Santa Cruz1573515:1124
6Paysandu PA1572623:2123
7Maringa FC1565428:2523
8Ferroviaria1565415:1223
9Ypiranga FC1563618:1921
10SER Caxias do Sul1556414:1221
11Floresta EC1556416:1521
12Amazonas1562715:2020
13Figueirense1555513:1820
14Ituano1554616:1719
15Volta Redonda1553711:1918
16Maranhao1546511:1418
17Itabaiana1545613:1817
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1536617:1715
19Anapolis1533913:1912
20Confianca153399:1512
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)