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Floresta EC vs Amazonas

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Matheus M.
22'
Jhonny Lucas
39' Event
Jeam
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Floresta EC and Amazonas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Floresta EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Floresta EC
35%
Draws
32%
Amazonas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Floresta EC have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Amazonas are scoring more at 1.1.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 22%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Amazonas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Amazonas
3:2
May 29, 2023 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Amazonas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garraty
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Amazonas Compare

Top Goalscorer Henriques Coelho L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Domingos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 32 / 100
Amazonas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Amazonas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amazonas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Floresta EC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Amazonas has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Floresta EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Amazonas
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC

(Home)
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2
Floresta EC
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
09 Aug
Ypiranga FC
4 : 1
Floresta EC
27 Jul
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Maringa FC
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0
Floresta EC
Page 1 of 6

Amazonas

(Away)
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3
Amazonas
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
12 Jul
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 0
Amazonas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 18 9 4 5 26:20 31
2 Botafogo PB 18 9 3 6 26:19 30
3 Paysandu PA 18 9 2 7 26:26 29
4 Internacional de Limeira 18 8 5 5 22:20 29
5 Santa Cruz 18 8 4 6 19:14 28
6 Ypiranga FC 18 8 4 6 25:22 28
7 Guarani 18 7 6 5 32:22 27
8 Ferroviaria 18 7 6 5 21:15 27
9 Maranhao 18 7 6 5 18:16 27
10 Maringa FC 18 7 6 5 31:30 27
11 Floresta EC 18 7 6 5 20:20 27
12 Amazonas 18 7 4 7 19:21 25
13 Figueirense 18 6 7 5 17:21 25
14 SER Caxias do Sul 18 6 6 6 17:16 24
15 Ituano 18 6 4 8 18:19 22
16 Volta Redonda 18 6 3 9 13:23 21
17 Anapolis 18 5 3 10 16:21 18
18 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 18 4 6 8 19:21 18
19 Itabaiana 18 4 5 9 14:25 17
20 Confianca 18 3 4 11 11:19 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)