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Floresta EC vs Botafogo PB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Garraty
(Penalty)
44'
Garraty
46'
Sub
Thallyson In: Kayon
Out: Thallyson

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Floresta EC and Botafogo PB finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Floresta EC
35%
Draws
19%
Botafogo PB
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Floresta EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo PB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Floresta EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Botafogo PB
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Botafogo PB
1:1
Sep 12, 2026 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC
1:2
May 11, 2025 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC
2:3
Apr 21, 2024 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Botafogo PB
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastos R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 59 / 100
Botafogo PB 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Botafogo PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floresta EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floresta EC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Botafogo PB let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Floresta EC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Botafogo PB
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC

(Home)
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo PB

(Away)
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
2 Internacional de Limeira 5 1 4 0 11:9 7
3 Brusque 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
4 Paysandu PA 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 5 3 2 0 5:2 11
2 Maringa FC 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
3 Floresta EC 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
4 Botafogo PB 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)