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Floresta EC vs Confianca

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Caique
62'
Sub
PK In: Maikon Aquino
Out: PK
62'
Sub
Renilson In: Gustavo Nicola
Out: Renilson

AI Match Summary

Floresta EC in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Floresta EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Floresta EC
20%
Draws
11%
Confianca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Floresta EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Floresta EC lately — more wins on the board than Confianca.
  • Model gives Floresta EC a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 68%
Confianca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Confianca
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.89 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Confianca
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Serie C
Confianca vs Floresta EC
1:0
Jun 10, 2024 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Confianca
1:0
Aug 7, 2023 Serie C
Confianca vs Floresta EC
3:1
Apr 10, 2022 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Confianca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Caique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Confianca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 95 / 100
Confianca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Confianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floresta EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floresta EC's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Confianca has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Floresta EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Confianca
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC

(Home)
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2
Floresta EC
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

Confianca

(Away)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)