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Floresta EC vs Confianca

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Caique
62'
Sub
PK In: Maikon Aquino
Out: PK
62'
Sub
Renilson In: Gustavo Nicola
Out: Renilson

AI Match Summary

Floresta EC in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Floresta EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Floresta EC
39%
Draws
31%
Confianca
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Floresta EC at 1.13 per game, Confianca at 0.63.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 68%
Confianca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Confianca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Confianca
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Serie C
Confianca vs Floresta EC
1:0
Jun 10, 2024 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Confianca
1:0
Aug 7, 2023 Serie C
Confianca vs Floresta EC
3:1
Apr 10, 2022 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Confianca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Caique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Confianca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 41 / 100
Confianca 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Confianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Confianca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Floresta EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Confianca registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Confianca
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC

(Home)
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0
Floresta EC
04 Jul
Guarani
0 : 0
Floresta EC
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
21 Jun
Brusque
2 : 1
Floresta EC
14 Jun
Floresta EC
1 : 2
Figueirense
Page 1 of 6

Confianca

(Away)
12 Jul
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Confianca
04 Jul
Confianca
1 : 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
28 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Confianca
22 Jun
Confianca
2 : 0
Guarani
14 Jun
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Confianca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1473415:1024
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Botafogo PB1471619:1522
7Maringa FC1464427:2422
8Ferroviaria1464415:1222
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Ituano1454516:1619
12Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
13Volta Redonda1453610:1518
14Amazonas1452713:1917
15Maranhao1445511:1417
16Figueirense1445512:1817
17Itabaiana1444612:1716
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Confianca143298:1411
20Anapolis142399:189
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)