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Florgrade vs Beira Mar

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Costa G.

AI Match Summary

Florgrade in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Florgrade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Florgrade
30%
Draws
23%
Beira Mar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Florgrade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Beira Mar average 1.27 goals a game right now, well clear of Florgrade's 1.14.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Florgrade taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Florgrade Clean Sheet 68%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Florgrade Beira Mar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.27
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs Beira Mar
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Florgrade
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Florgrade
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs Beira Mar
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 Taça de Portugal
Florgrade vs Beira Mar
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Florgrade Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Beira Mar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Florgrade 86 / 100
Beira Mar 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Florgrade Beira Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Florgrade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Florgrade scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Beira Mar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Florgrade remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Florgrade VS Beira Mar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Florgrade

(Home)
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
Page 1 of 6

Beira Mar

(Away)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)