Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Florgrade vs Beira Mar

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Costa G.

AI Match Summary

Florgrade in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Florgrade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Florgrade
17%
Draws
70%
Beira Mar
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Beira Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Beira Mar average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Florgrade's 1.25.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Beira Mar taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Florgrade Clean Sheet 20%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Florgrade Beira Mar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs Beira Mar
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Florgrade
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Florgrade
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs Beira Mar
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 Taça de Portugal
Florgrade vs Beira Mar
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Florgrade Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Beira Mar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Florgrade 16 / 100
Beira Mar 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Florgrade Beira Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Florgrade scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Beira Mar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Florgrade remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Florgrade VS Beira Mar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Florgrade

(Home)
18 Apr
Florgrade
2 : 1
Rebordosa
12 Apr
Aparecida
4 : 1
Florgrade
04 Apr
Florgrade
1 : 1
GD Resende
22 Mar
SC Salgueiros
2 : 0
Florgrade
15 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Beira Mar
Page 1 of 6

Beira Mar

(Away)
18 Apr
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Beira Mar
12 Apr
Beira Mar
4 : 0
Uniao Lamas
04 Apr
FC Alpendorada
0 : 1
Beira Mar
22 Mar
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Cinfaes
15 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Beira Mar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rebordosa26177241:1758
2Leca26149350:2351
3Cinfaes261010633:2140
4Beira Mar26108830:2238
5FC Alpendorada26911630:2238
6Florgrade26910728:2837
7Vila Mea26713629:2834
8Uniao Lamas26961127:3333
9SC Salgueiros26711820:1932
10Anadia26791027:3330
11Aparecida26941336:5128
12GD Resende266101027:3128
13SC Vila Real26512923:3027
14CD Gouveia26142114:577
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)