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Floriana vs Sliema Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

Premier League Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Vella D.
43'
Vella D.
46'
Sub
Jbira Y. In: N Dri A. C.
Out: Jbira Y.

AI Match Summary

Floriana in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Floriana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Floriana
20%
Draws
47%
Sliema
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sliema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Floriana have won more games recently than Sliema.
  • Model gives Floriana a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Floriana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Floriana Clean Sheet 68%
Sliema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floriana Sliema
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Premier League
Floriana vs Sliema
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Premier League
Sliema vs Floriana
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Floriana vs Sliema
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Floriana vs Sliema
2:2
May 9, 2025 Premier League
Sliema vs Floriana
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Vella D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Sliema Compare

Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floriana 68 / 100
Sliema 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floriana Sliema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floriana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floriana scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Sliema conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Floriana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Floriana VS Sliema
1.5 Goals Scored 1.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Floriana

(Home)
20 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 4
Floriana
12 Sept
Floriana
2 : 5
Marsaxlokk
07 Sept
Floriana
0 : 2
Valletta
02 Sept
Floriana
4 : 1
Gzira
29 Aug
Hamrun
1 : 1
Floriana
Page 1 of 7

Sliema

(Away)
20 Sept
Balzan FC
0 : 0
Sliema
13 Sept
Mosta FC
1 : 3
Sliema
06 Sept
Sliema
2 : 1
Birkirkara
30 Aug
Birzebbuga
1 : 2
Sliema
21 Aug
Floriana
2 : 0
Sliema
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floriana 6 4 1 1 16:7 13
2 Valletta 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
3 Marsaxlokk 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
4 Birkirkara 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
5 Hamrun 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
6 Mosta FC 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
7 Sliema 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
8 Balzan FC 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
9 Zabbar 6 1 2 3 5:9 5
10 Hibernians 6 1 2 3 4:9 5
11 Gzira 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
12 Birzebbuga 6 0 0 6 1:14 0
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League (First stage - Play Out)