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Fluminense vs Bragantino

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Fluminense host Bragantino in the Serie A Betano. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Fluminense at 1.63 goals for, 1.13 against; Bragantino at 2.25 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Fluminense slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2025, ending 4:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.69) back Fluminense to edge this. Fluminense in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fluminense
30%
Draws
34%
Bragantino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Fluminense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bragantino.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Fluminense.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie A Betano provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 13%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Bragantino
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Fluminense
4:2
Apr 6, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Bragantino
2:1
Jul 28, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Fluminense
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Bragantino
2:2
Oct 22, 2023 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Fluminense
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 35 / 100
Bragantino 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Bragantino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Bragantino let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Fluminense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bragantino lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Bragantino
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339