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Fluminense de Joinville vs Concordia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019 game between Fluminense de Joinville and Concordia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fluminense de Joinville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fluminense de Joinville
20%
Draws
20%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense de Joinville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Concordia come out ahead of Fluminense de Joinville on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Fluminense de Joinville Clean Sheet 20%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense de Joinville Concordia
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.72 1
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2019 Catarinense 2
Concordia vs Fluminense de Joinville
1:0
Jun 29, 2019 Catarinense 2
Fluminense de Joinville vs Concordia
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense de Joinville 32 / 100
Concordia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense de Joinville Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 38 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Concordia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Fluminense de Joinville's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Concordia
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense de Joinville

(Home)
12 Sept
Cacador Atletico Clube
3 : 0
Fluminense de Joinville
08 Sept
Fluminense de Joinville
2 : 1
Inter de Lages
05 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Fluminense de Joinville
02 Sept
Fluminense de Joinville
0 : 5
Carlos Renaux
28 Aug
Guarani de Palhoca
0 : 1
Fluminense de Joinville
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Concordia

(Away)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Concordia 16 9 4 3 25:14 31
2 Almirante Barroso 16 9 4 3 24:13 31
3 Jaragua-SC 16 9 3 4 20:16 30
4 Inter de Lages 16 6 3 7 20:22 21
5 Camboriu 16 5 5 6 21:22 20
6 Fluminense de Joinville 16 5 4 7 21:20 19
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 16 3 7 6 17:20 16
8 Guarani de Palhoca 16 4 3 9 12:21 15
9 Prospera Criciuma 16 2 7 7 9:21 13
10 Blumenau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019 (Play Offs)