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Fluminense Piaui U20 vs Ferroviario-PI U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Leo Carvalho
22' Event
Kaique
46' Event
Henrique da Silva Simplicio P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Fluminense Piaui U20
15%
Draws
31%
Ferroviario-PI U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense Piaui U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fluminense Piaui U20 come out ahead of Ferroviario-PI U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fluminense Piaui U20 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Fluminense Piaui U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense Piaui U20, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fluminense Piaui U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario-PI U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Piaui U20 Ferroviario-PI U20
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Piauiense U20
Fluminense Piaui U20 vs Ferroviario-PI U20
5:1
Jul 3, 2025 Piauiense U20
Fluminense Piaui U20 vs Ferroviario-PI U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Piaui U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Carvalho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thauan
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ferroviario-PI U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense Piaui U20 85 / 100
Ferroviario-PI U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Piaui U20 Ferroviario-PI U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense Piaui U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense Piaui U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Ferroviario-PI U20 let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Fluminense Piaui U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense Piaui U20 VS Ferroviario-PI U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense Piaui U20

(Home)
04 Aug
Atletico-PI U20
0 : 1
Fluminense Piaui U20
30 Jul
Fluminense Piaui U20
4 : 2
River-PI U20
25 Jul
Fluminense Piaui U20
5 : 1
Ferroviario-PI U20
18 Jul
Fluminense Piaui U20
1 : 4
Atletico-PI U20
13 Jul
River-PI U20
0 : 3
Fluminense Piaui U20
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviario-PI U20

(Away)
25 Jul
Fluminense Piaui U20
5 : 1
Ferroviario-PI U20
15 Jul
Ferroviario-PI U20
1 : 3
Comercial PI U20
07 Jul
Julho Esporte U20
1 : 2
Ferroviario-PI U20
04 Jul
Ferroviario-PI U20
3 : 0
Caicara U20
01 Jul
Parnahyba U20
1 : 1
Ferroviario-PI U20
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atletico-PI U20 4
Julho Esporte U20 2
Picos U20 0
Tiradentes-PI U20 2
Fluminense Piaui U20 5
Ferroviario-PI U20 1
Comercial PI U20 1
River-PI U20 2
Semi-finals
Atletico-PI U20 3
Tiradentes-PI U20 0
Fluminense Piaui U20 4
River-PI U20 2
Final
Atletico-PI U20 0
Fluminense Piaui U20 1