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Fluminense-SC vs Almirante Barroso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
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AI Match Summary

Fluminense-SC in this Copa Santa Catarina 2019 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Fluminense-SC
30%
Draws
16%
Almirante Barroso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fluminense-SC lately — more wins on the board than Almirante Barroso.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense-SC taking it.
  • Fluminense-SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense-SC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Almirante Barroso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Almirante Barroso
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Almirante Barroso
6:0
Sep 18, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Almirante Barroso vs Fluminense-SC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 58 / 100
Almirante Barroso 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Almirante Barroso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense-SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Fluminense-SC found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Almirante Barroso let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Fluminense-SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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Almirante Barroso

(Away)
31 Oct
Avai B
1 : 1
Almirante Barroso
27 Oct
Figueirense B
2 : 2
Almirante Barroso
20 Oct
Almirante Barroso
0 : 1
Brusque
16 Oct
Fluminense-SC
6 : 0
Almirante Barroso
13 Oct
Almirante Barroso
0 : 1
Marcilio Dias
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)