Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Fluminense-SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Fluminense-SC
22%
Draws
60%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Fluminense-SC haven't matched CA Metropolitano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CA Metropolitano's way, sitting at 60%.
  • CA Metropolitano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CA Metropolitano, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CA Metropolitano here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:3
Jul 6, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 10, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 6, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 20 / 100
CA Metropolitano 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC CA Metropolitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Fluminense-SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: CA Metropolitano conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS CA Metropolitano
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
Page 1 of 6

CA Metropolitano

(Away)
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
CA Metropolitano
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
05 Jul
CA Metropolitano
2 : 1
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz1090126:527
2Figueirense1062220:1220
3Joinville1044219:1516
4Fluminense-SC1023510:169
5CA Metropolitano1022611:168
6Blumenau100376:283
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1081120:625
2Tubarao1055013:420
3Marcilio Dias1053219:618
4Almirante Barroso1042413:1114
5Inter de Lages1021712:137
6Operario Mafra1000104:410
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)