Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Fluminense-SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fluminense-SC
15%
Draws
48%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Fluminense-SC haven't matched CA Metropolitano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CA Metropolitano's way, sitting at 80%.
  • CA Metropolitano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CA Metropolitano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CA Metropolitano here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
3:0
Jun 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:3
Jul 6, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 10, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 6, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 12 / 100
CA Metropolitano 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC CA Metropolitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Metropolitano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Fluminense-SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: CA Metropolitano conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS CA Metropolitano
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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CA Metropolitano

(Away)
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
CA Metropolitano
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 10 9 0 1 26:5 27
2 Figueirense 10 6 2 2 20:12 20
3 Joinville 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
4 Fluminense-SC 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
5 CA Metropolitano 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
6 Blumenau 10 0 3 7 6:28 3
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 10 8 1 1 20:6 25
2 Tubarao 10 5 5 0 13:4 20
3 Marcilio Dias 10 5 3 2 19:6 18
4 Almirante Barroso 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
5 Inter de Lages 10 2 1 7 12:13 7
6 Operario Mafra 10 0 0 10 4:41 0
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)