Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense-SC vs Hercilio Luz

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hercilio Luz in this Copa Santa Catarina 2018 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fluminense-SC
15%
Draws
54%
Hercilio Luz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hercilio Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hercilio Luz lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense-SC.
  • Hercilio Luz are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Hercilio Luz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hercilio Luz, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hercilio Luz here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Hercilio Luz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Hercilio Luz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Catarinense 2
Hercilio Luz vs Fluminense-SC
4:2
May 6, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Hercilio Luz
1:0
Oct 20, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Hercilio Luz
0:2
Sep 26, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Hercilio Luz vs Fluminense-SC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 16 / 100
Hercilio Luz 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Hercilio Luz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hercilio Luz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hercilio Luz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Fluminense-SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS Hercilio Luz
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 6

Hercilio Luz

(Away)
26 Sept
Hercilio Luz
2 : 1
Nacao
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Hercilio Luz
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 10 9 0 1 26:5 27
2 Figueirense 10 6 2 2 20:12 20
3 Joinville 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
4 Fluminense-SC 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
5 CA Metropolitano 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
6 Blumenau 10 0 3 7 6:28 3
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 10 8 1 1 20:6 25
2 Tubarao 10 5 5 0 13:4 20
3 Marcilio Dias 10 5 3 2 19:6 18
4 Almirante Barroso 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
5 Inter de Lages 10 2 1 7 12:13 7
6 Operario Mafra 10 0 0 10 4:41 0
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)