Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense-SC vs Hercilio Luz

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hercilio Luz in this Copa Santa Catarina 2018 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fluminense-SC
44%
Draws
20%
Hercilio Luz
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hercilio Luz lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense-SC.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Hercilio Luz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hercilio Luz, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hercilio Luz here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Hercilio Luz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Hercilio Luz
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Catarinense 2
Hercilio Luz vs Fluminense-SC
4:2
May 6, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Hercilio Luz
1:0
Oct 20, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Hercilio Luz
0:2
Sep 26, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Hercilio Luz vs Fluminense-SC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 36 / 100
Hercilio Luz 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Hercilio Luz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Hercilio Luz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Fluminense-SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS Hercilio Luz
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
28 Jun
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
Fluminense-SC
21 Jun
Fluminense-SC
1 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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Hercilio Luz

(Away)
15 Jul
Hercilio Luz
1 : 0
Gremio Juventus
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
04 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
28 Jun
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
Fluminense-SC
21 Jun
Hercilio Luz
3 : 0
CA Metropolitano
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz1090126:527
2Figueirense1062220:1220
3Joinville1044219:1516
4Fluminense-SC1023510:169
5CA Metropolitano1022611:168
6Blumenau100376:283
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1081120:625
2Tubarao1055013:420
3Marcilio Dias1053219:618
4Almirante Barroso1042413:1114
5Inter de Lages1021712:137
6Operario Mafra1000104:410
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)