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Fluminense-SC vs Joinville

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2018
Fluminense-SC Logo

Fluminense-SC

2 - 2
FT
Joinville Logo

Joinville

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Santa Catarina 2018 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Fluminense-SC
15%
Draws
39%
Joinville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fluminense-SC lately — more wins on the board than Joinville.
  • Win probability leans Fluminense-SC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Fluminense-SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Joinville Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Joinville
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Fluminense-SC
1:3
Sep 14, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Joinville
1:1
Oct 15, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Fluminense-SC
4:1
Sep 30, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Joinville
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 36 / 100
Joinville 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Joinville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Fluminense-SC scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Joinville has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Fluminense-SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS Joinville
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
38% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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Joinville

(Away)
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
07 Jun
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Joinville
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 10 9 0 1 26:5 27
2 Figueirense 10 6 2 2 20:12 20
3 Joinville 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
4 Fluminense-SC 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
5 CA Metropolitano 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
6 Blumenau 10 0 3 7 6:28 3
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 10 8 1 1 20:6 25
2 Tubarao 10 5 5 0 13:4 20
3 Marcilio Dias 10 5 3 2 19:6 18
4 Almirante Barroso 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
5 Inter de Lages 10 2 1 7 12:13 7
6 Operario Mafra 10 0 0 10 4:41 0
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)