Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Fluminense-SC

1 - 1

Nacao

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Wadson

48'

Hernanny H.

53'

Ruan Borracha

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Fluminense-SC and Nacao finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Fluminense-SC

30%

Draws

34%

Nacao

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Nacao haven't matched Fluminense-SC's recent run of results.
Fluminense-SC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 68%

Nacao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fluminense-SC	Nacao
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	10	4
Draws	8	12
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	0.88	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Fluminense-SC

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

May 16, 2026 Catarinense 2

Fluminense-SC vs Nacao

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Jun 22, 2025 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Fluminense-SC

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernanny H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Nacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Wadson

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 46 / 100

Nacao 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fluminense-SC Nacao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fluminense-SC scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Fluminense-SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nacao let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS Nacao

0.88 Goals Scored 0.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

50% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	15	11	2	2	31:9	35
2	Caravaggio	15	9	3	3	42:17	30
3	CA Metropolitano	15	9	2	4	25:17	29
4	Blumenau	15	8	3	4	31:12	27
5	Tubarao	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
6	Fluminense-SC	15	5	3	7	14:18	18
7	Nacao	15	4	5	6	14:22	17
8	Guarani de Palhoca	15	4	4	7	14:23	16
9	Gremio Juventus	15	4	2	9	13:21	14
10	Jaragua-SC	15	0	1	14	5:57	1