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Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Obina
44' Event
Victor Rosa
74' Event
Alysson

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Fluminense-SC and Tubarao finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fluminense-SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Fluminense-SC
15%
Draws
0%
Tubarao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fluminense-SC have managed 1 goals a game lately — Tubarao are scoring more at 1.23.
  • Fluminense-SC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 68%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Tubarao
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao
2:1
May 31, 2026 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao
3:1
Oct 27, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao
1:1
Sep 11, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Fluminense-SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Rosa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alysson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tubarao Compare

Top Goalscorer Obina
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 50 / 100
Tubarao 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Tubarao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense-SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Fluminense-SC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Fluminense-SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS Tubarao
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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Tubarao

(Away)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)