Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense U20 vs Referencia U20

Brazil Brazil

Copinha Estadio Prefeito Gabriel Marques, Santana de Parnaiba
Fluminense U20 Logo

Fluminense U20

Tue, Jan 13, 2026
2 - 1
09:30 PM
Referencia U20 Logo

Referencia U20

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Isack Gabriel
67' Event
Araujo Barbosa J.
1' Event
Isack Gabriel
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Fluminense U20
15%
Draws
26%
Referencia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Fluminense U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fluminense U20 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Fluminense U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Referencia U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.6 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Copinha
Fluminense U20 vs Referencia U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Isack Gabriel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Referencia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo Barbosa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 76 / 100
Referencia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Referencia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Referencia U20 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Fluminense U20 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Fluminense U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS Referencia U20
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense U20

(Home)
22 Aug
Madureira U20
2 : 2
Fluminense U20
15 Aug
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Boavista U20
08 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
01 Jul
Botafogo RJ U20
3 : 2
Fluminense U20
25 Jun
Fluminense U20
0 : 3
Palmeiras U20
Page 1 of 6

Referencia U20

(Away)
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2
Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
11 Aug
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Referencia U20
07 Aug
Osasco Audax U20
3 : 0
Referencia U20
31 Jul
Referencia U20
0 : 1
Guarani U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Votuporanguense U20 1
Gremio U20 3
Alagoinhas U20 1
Goias U20 0
Mirassol U20 1
Sport Recife U20 1
America RN U20 2
Athletico-PR U20 1
Ceara U20 2
Gremio Prudente U20 2
Osasco Sporting U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
XV de Jau U20 3
Corinthians U20 1
Guarani U20 2
Bahia U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 3
America MG U20 2
Internacional de Limeira U20 1
Botafogo SP U20 1
Vasco U20 0
Guanabara City U20 1
Tuna Luso U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Meia Noite U20 1
Ponte Preta U20 2
Francana U20 1
Ferroviaria U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 0
Santos U20 1
Cuiaba U20 0
Bragantino U20 3
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 0
Canaa U20 1
Figueirense U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 2
Portuguesa U20 0
Operario PR U20 4
Independente AP U20 0
EC Juventude U20 2
Aguia De Maraba U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 3
Sao Jose EC U20 0
Fortaleza U20 2
Novorizontino U20 1
Itaquaquecetuba U20 2
Uniao Mogi U20 1
Fluminense U20 2
Referencia U20 1
Ituano U20 3
Agua Santa U20 1
Palmeiras U20 4
Vitoria U20 3
Flamengo SP U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Osasco Audax U20 0
Santo Andre U20 1
Ibrachina U20 3
Atletico-MG U20 1
Retro U20 0
Internacional U20 4
Nacional SP U20 2
CA Juventus U20 0
1/16-finals
Chapecoense-SC U20 0
Gremio U20 1
Mirassol U20 0
America RN U20 2
Ceara U20 3
Gremio Prudente U20 1
XV de Jau U20 1
Guarani U20 0
Atletico-PI U20 1
America MG U20 0
Botafogo SP U20 0
Guanabara City U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Ponte Preta U20 0
Ferroviaria U20 1
Santos U20 4
Bragantino U20 5
Canaa U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 5
Operario PR U20 1
EC Juventude U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Fortaleza U20 1
Itaquaquecetuba U20 2
Fluminense U20 0
Ituano U20 2
Palmeiras U20 2
Flamengo SP U20 1
Santo Andre U20 1
Ibrachina U20 2
Internacional U20 3
Nacional SP U20 2
1/8-finals
Gremio U20 4
America RN U20 1
Ceara U20 2
XV de Jau U20 0
Atletico-PI U20 0
Guanabara City U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Santos U20 1
Bragantino U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 2
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Itaquaquecetuba U20 0
Ituano U20 1
Palmeiras U20 3
Ibrachina U20 2
Internacional U20 1
Quarter-finals
Gremio U20 3
Ceara U20 0
Guanabara City U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 3
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Palmeiras U20 2
Ibrachina U20 3
Semi-finals
Gremio U20 2
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 4
Ibrachina U20 1
Final
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 1