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Fluminense vs Bangu

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Maracanã
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Savarino J.
Assist: Guga
40' Event
Canobbio A.
Assist: Bernal F.
42'
Patryck

AI Match Summary

The Carioca game between Fluminense and Bangu finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fluminense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fluminense
6%
Draws
4%
Bangu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fluminense come out ahead of Bangu on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fluminense a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fluminense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%
Bangu Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Bangu
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Carioca
Fluminense vs Bangu
3:1
Feb 23, 2025 Carioca
Fluminense vs Bangu
3:2
Feb 2, 2024 Carioca
Fluminense vs Bangu
4:1
Mar 4, 2023 Carioca
Bangu vs Fluminense
0:5
Jan 27, 2022 Carioca
Fluminense vs Bangu
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Savarino J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Canobbio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bangu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricardo Sena
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 95 / 100
Bangu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Bangu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fluminense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Bangu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Bangu
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fluminense3
Bangu1
Vasco2
Volta Redonda1
Botafogo RJ1
Flamengo RJ2
Madureira2
Boavista1
Semi-finals
Fluminense2
Vasco1
Flamengo RJ11
Madureira0
Final
Fluminense0
Flamengo RJ1