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Fluminense vs Bolivar

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Acosta L.
13'
Freytes J.
24' Event
Melgar C. A.
Assist: Romero D.

AI Match Summary

Fluminense in this Copa Libertadores matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fluminense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fluminense
6%
Draws
4%
Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bolivar lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense.
  • Fluminense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Bolivar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Bolivar
2:1
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Bolivar vs Fluminense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader John Kennedy
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Melgar C. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 95 / 100
Bolivar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Bolivar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Fluminense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Fluminense scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Bolivar conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Bolivar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo RJ651014:216
2Estudiantes L.P.62316:59
3Ind. Medellin62136:117
4Cusco60154:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo63128:610
2Deportes Tolima62227:68
3Club Nacional62227:98
4Universitario de Deportes61325:66
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia651015:616
2Fluminense62227:78
3Bolivar61236:85
4Deportivo La Guaira60336:133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica64118:413
2Cruzeiro63218:311
3Boca Juniors62136:57
4Barcelona SC61052:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians63218:411
2Platense63128:710
3Santa Fe62226:78
4Penarol60334:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerro Porteno64116:213
2Palmeiras632110:511
3Sporting Cristal62046:96
4Junior61145:114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LDU Quito64028:512
2Mirassol64027:412
3Lanus63033:79
4Always Ready61057:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle641111:613
2Rosario Central64119:113
3Universidad Central63037:119
4Libertad Asuncion60064:130