Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro

Fluminense

2 - 1

Bolivar

Our Tip

Match Events

Acosta L.

13'

Freytes J.

24'

Melgar C. A.

Assist: Romero D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Fluminense

20%

Draws

52%

Bolivar

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Bolivar lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense.
Bolivar are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Bolivar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Fluminense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

Fluminense Clean Sheet 10%

Bolivar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fluminense	Bolivar
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	12	16
Draws	11	6
Losses	6	6
Goals Scored	1.45	2.14
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Fluminense vs Bolivar

2:1

Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Bolivar vs Fluminense

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader John Kennedy

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Melgar C. A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.99

Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 22 / 100

Bolivar 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fluminense Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolivar Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:4

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bolivar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Fluminense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Bolivar

1.88 Goals Scored 2.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)

15 Sept

Platense

2 : 1

Fluminense

12 Sept

Atletico-MG

3 : 1

Fluminense

08 Sept

Fluminense

2 : 0

Platense

06 Sept

Fluminense

1 : 0

Vasco

30 Aug

Athletico-PR

3 : 3

Fluminense

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Bolivar

(Away)

14 Sept

Tomayapo

1 : 2

Bolivar

11 Sept

Bolivar

1 : 1

Independiente

06 Sept

Independiente

0 : 4

Bolivar

02 Sept

GV San Jose

0 : 1

Bolivar

30 Aug

Bolivar

4 : 2

The Strongest

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