Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense vs Nova Iguacu

World World

Club Friendly Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Zavoli D.
11'
Zavoli D.
23' Event
Pereira H.

AI Match Summary

Fluminense in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fluminense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fluminense
35%
Draws
32%
Nova Iguacu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nova Iguacu haven't matched Fluminense's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fluminense have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Iguacu Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Nova Iguacu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.46 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Fluminense vs Nova Iguacu
6:1
Jan 23, 2026 Carioca
Nova Iguacu vs Fluminense
2:3
Feb 16, 2025 Carioca
Fluminense vs Nova Iguacu
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Carioca
Fluminense vs Nova Iguacu
3:0
Jan 18, 2023 Carioca
Fluminense vs Nova Iguacu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Savarino J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.23

Nova Iguacu Compare

Top Goalscorer Zavoli D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 36 / 100
Nova Iguacu 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Nova Iguacu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Fluminense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Fluminense found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Nova Iguacu let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Nova Iguacu
0.75 Goals Scored 0.83
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.17
63% Over 1.5 33%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3
Fluminense
22 Aug
Fluminense
2 : 1
Remo
18 Aug
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Fluminense
15 Aug
Fluminense
3 : 2
Palmeiras
11 Aug
Fluminense
0 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia
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Nova Iguacu

(Away)
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0
Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
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