Sport Picks
Foggia vs Salernitana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia 
Match Events
6'
6'
de Boer K.
35'
35'
Golemic V.
37'
37'
Ferrari F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Foggia and Salernitana finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salernitana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salernitana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Foggia haven't matched Salernitana's recent run of results.
- Model gives Foggia a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Foggia Clean Sheet 18%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Foggia | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 19 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Salernitana
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Salernitana
1:3
Dec 20, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Salernitana vs Foggia
2:1
May 1, 2019 Serie B
Foggia vs Salernitana
3:1
Dec 23, 2018 Serie B
Salernitana vs Foggia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Foggia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Salernitana Compare
Top Goalscorer de Boer K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferrari F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Foggia 36 / 100
Salernitana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Foggia Salernitana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Salernitana has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Foggia's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Foggia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Foggia VS Salernitana
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Foggia
(Home) 04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2 Foggia
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0 Sorrento
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2 Foggia
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0 A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0 Sorrento
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0 A.C. Savoia
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
29 Aug
Foggia
1 : 1 Salernitana
16 Aug
Foggia
1 : 2 Altamura
Page 1 of 3
Salernitana
(Away) 04 Oct
Salernitana
2 : 1 Bari
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1 Salernitana
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0 Giugliano
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1 Salernitana
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1 Salernitana
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1 Salernitana
29 Aug
Foggia
1 : 1 Salernitana
27 May
Union Brescia
2 : 0 Salernitana
20 May
Ravenna
0 : 2 Salernitana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
