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Foguetoes vs Ultramarina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2009 game between Foguetoes and Ultramarina finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ultramarina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Foguetoes
35%
Draws
19%
Ultramarina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Foguetoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ultramarina come out ahead of Foguetoes on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Foguetoes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Foguetoes Clean Sheet 20%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foguetoes Ultramarina
Matches Played 13 35
Wins 3 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 0.62 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Foguetoes vs Ultramarina
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foguetoes 67 / 100
Ultramarina 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foguetoes Ultramarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foguetoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ultramarina conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Foguetoes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ultramarina's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ultramarina
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Foguetoes

(Home)
27 May
Academica Praia
1 : 0
Foguetoes
20 May
Foguetoes
0 : 0
Academica Praia
12 May
Scorpion Vermelho
2 : 0
Foguetoes
05 May
Foguetoes
2 : 1
Morabeza
28 Apr
Belo Horizonte
0 : 0
Foguetoes
Page 1 of 3

Ultramarina

(Away)
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0
Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0
Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1
Ultramarina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Praia 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Mindelense 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
3 Ultramarina 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
4 Onze Unidos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
5 Santa Maria 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
6 Foguetoes 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 SC do Porto Novo 5 3 0 2 9:6 9
3 Vulcanico 5 2 1 2 3:4 7
4 Morabeza 5 2 1 2 4:8 7
5 Estrela dos Amadores 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
6 Academica Boavista 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)