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Folgore Caratese vs AC Milan U20

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Samotti N.
42' Event
Binous S. A.
71' Event
Pio Loco A.

AI Match Summary

Folgore Caratese in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore Caratese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Folgore Caratese
30%
Draws
41%
AC Milan U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Milan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Folgore Caratese have won more games recently than AC Milan U20.
  • Win probability leans Folgore Caratese's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 17%
AC Milan U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore Caratese AC Milan U20
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.56 1.24
Goals Conceded 1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Folgore Caratese vs AC Milan U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folgore Caratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Samotti N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Binous S. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AC Milan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ossola L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore Caratese 36 / 100
AC Milan U20 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore Caratese AC Milan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Folgore Caratese scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: AC Milan U20 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Folgore Caratese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Folgore Caratese VS AC Milan U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore Caratese

(Home)
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
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AC Milan U20

(Away)
20 Sept
AC Milan U20
0 : 1
AS Roma U20
12 Sept
Verona U20
2 : 0
AC Milan U20
06 Sept
AC Milan U20
2 : 0
Juventus U20
30 Aug
Cesena U20
1 : 1
AC Milan U20
24 Aug
AC Milan U20
3 : 2
Torino U20
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