Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Barazzetta A.
34'
34'
Bernacchi D.
60'
60'
Gualdi L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Folgore Caratese and Caronnese finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Folgore Caratese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore Caratese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Folgore Caratese carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Folgore Caratese a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 68%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Caronnese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 2 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Folgore Caratese
1:3
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Caronnese
3:0
Mar 28, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Caronnese vs Folgore Caratese
0:1
Dec 6, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Caronnese
2:3
Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Caronnese
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Barazzetta A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bernacchi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Caronnese Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folgore Caratese 77 / 100
Caronnese 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folgore Caratese Caronnese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Folgore Caratese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Folgore Caratese scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.
Defensive concern: Caronnese conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Caronnese lost 5 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Folgore Caratese VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Folgore Caratese
(Home) 13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
16 Aug
Giana Erminio
2 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 8
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0 Treviso
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1 Sondrio
19 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Real Calepina
Page 1 of 4
Caronnese
(Away) 07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3 Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0 Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0 Caronnese
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0 Caronnese
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0 Caronnese
19 Mar
Brusaporto
2 : 0 Caronnese
05 Mar
Villa Valle
2 : 2 Caronnese
19 Feb
Desenzano Calvina
3 : 0 Caronnese
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lumezzane | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 67:20 | 77 |
| 2 | Alcione Milano | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 67:31 | 71 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 38:26 | 59 |
| 4 | Arconatese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 47:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Franciacorta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Ponte San Pietro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 47:38 | 49 |
| 8 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:40 | 48 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 10 | Varesina | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Villa Valle | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 40:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 30:33 | 39 |
| 13 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Seregno Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 42:56 | 38 |
| 15 | Breno | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 35:50 | 37 |
| 16 | Varese FC | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 30:46 | 33 |
| 17 | Sona | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:56 | 27 |
| 18 | Caronnese | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 24:64 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)
