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Folgore Caratese vs Castellazzo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Folgore Caratese in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore Caratese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Folgore Caratese
35%
Draws
24%
Castellazzo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Folgore Caratese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Folgore Caratese lately — more wins on the board than Castellazzo.
  • Win probability leans Folgore Caratese's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 20%
Castellazzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore Caratese Castellazzo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Castellazzo
1:0
Oct 14, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs Folgore Caratese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore Caratese 76 / 100
Castellazzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore Caratese Castellazzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Caratese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Castellazzo conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Folgore Caratese's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Folgore Caratese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Folgore Caratese VS Castellazzo
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore Caratese

(Home)
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6

Castellazzo

(Away)
08 Aug
Club Milano
0 : 0
Castellazzo
06 May
AC Chieri
5 : 2
Castellazzo
29 Apr
Castellazzo
0 : 0
Borgaro
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 2
Castellazzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)