Sport Picks
Folgore Caratese vs Club Milano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 
Match Events
1'
1'
Campani F.
40'
40'
Vedovati G.
51'
51'
Ientile M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-3, with Club Milano advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Folgore Caratese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Folgore Caratese's 1.55 goals per match outpaces what Club Milano have produced (1.17).
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Club Milano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 68%
Club Milano Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Club Milano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Folgore Caratese vs Club Milano
2:3
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Club Milano vs Folgore Caratese
3:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Club Milano
2:1
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Club Milano
0:0
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Club Milano vs Folgore Caratese
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Campani F.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Club Milano Compare
Top Goalscorer Vedovati G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folgore Caratese 41 / 100
Club Milano 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folgore Caratese Club Milano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Folgore Caratese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Folgore Caratese's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Club Milano let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Folgore Caratese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Folgore Caratese VS Club Milano
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Folgore Caratese
(Home) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0 Treviso
Page 1 of 3
Club Milano
(Away) 04 Oct
Club Milano
1 : 2 AC Leon
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Club Milano
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1 Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0 Club Milano
12 Sept
Pavonese
0 : 2 Club Milano
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Club Milano
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0 Club Milano
12 Sept
Pavonese
0 : 2 Club Milano
06 Aug
Pergolettese
1 : 0 Club Milano
26 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0 Club Milano
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
